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Next-gen finance

by Dr Debasish Sur, Pramit Sur, and Priyangshu Ganguly
Indian Management August 2024

Artificial intelligence (AI), with roots stretching back over half a century, has seen its potential skyrocket in recent years, leading to a surge in practical applications across various sectors, including finance.

Artificial intelligence (AI), with roots stretching back over half a century, has seen its potential skyrocket in recent years, leading to a surge in practical applications across various sectors, including finance. AI tools offer significant advantages, enabling the automation of routine tasks and enhancing analytical capabilities far beyond traditional methods. As AI reshapes the sector, it brings the potential for significant progress but also introduces risks that need careful management. This article highlights the concept of AI, its genesis, and its applications in the financial services industry. It also identifies the benefits and risks of AI to the financial services sector.

Concept and genesis of AI

The term ‘Artificial intelligence’ was coined by John McCarthy, an eminent computer and cognitive scientist at Stanford University, USA. He defines AI as the most striking characteristic of a machine to mimic a natural person in thinking the way a natural person does, and making a rational and the best choice from among the available alternatives aimed at achieving a specific goal. According to the Financial Stability Board (FSB), Basel, Switzerland, AI may be defined as a collection of theories and algorithms that empower computer systems to execute tasks traditionally requiring human intelligence, such as visual perception, voice recognition, and contextual text interpretation. In numerous cases, AI not only replicates human skills but also enhances them, expanding the capabilities of machines beyond what was previously thought possible. The majority of contemporary AI applications fall within the realm of machine learning. In this fascinating field, computers draw conclusions through statistical analysis of data, continually refining their accuracy as they process increasing amounts of information.

This self-improving process ensures that the algorithm becomes smarter and more efficient over time, unlocking ever-greater potential. AI is not a recent innovation. Its academic origins trace back to the 1950s. Yet, its prevalence has soared in recent years, propelled by three fundamental factors: the exponential expansion of digital data, improved and affordable data storage and computational capabilities, and remarkable progress in algorithms. These advancements have unleashed the complete potential of AI, resulting in its broad adoption not just within the financial sector but across the entire economy.

Consequently, AI’s impact and utilisation are rapidly expanding, revolutionising industries and reshaping human civilisation. AI development varies widely across regions, with North America leading in private investment at around $67.2 billion. Asia follows closely, though not matching North America’s level. Meanwhile, Europe trails behind with investments totalling less than $5 billion. This gap is partly due to the dominance of Asian and US tech giants, which have the infrastructure and data resources to drive AI progress. These companies not only use AI extensively in their operations but also lead the global market in AI applications like image recognition and natural language processing. Consequently, their significant investments and advanced capabilities have placed them at the forefront of the global AI landscape (Larson et. al., 2024).

AI applications in the financial services industry

AI has a myriad of applications throughout the financial sector, spanning the entire value chain from back-office operations to middle-office functions and frontoffice services. In the back-office, AI can streamline and automate routine tasks, enhancing efficiency and accuracy. Middle-office functions benefit from AI through improved risk management and data analysis, while in the front-office, AI can elevate customer interactions and experiences.

One of the prominent frontoffice applications of AI is in enhancing customer experience, such as through biometric authentication, which provides a seamless and secure way for customers to access their accounts. Middle-office applications include using AI to analyse new data sources for selecting investments or determining risk premiums, optimising decision-making processes.

AI can also revolutionise back-office operations by automating repetitive tasks, reducing errors, and improving productivity. Additionally, integrating AI with other cutting-edge technologies, like distributed ledger technology and smart contracts, can further expand its potential applications. For instance, smart contracts can automate complex financial transactions, while distributed ledger technology can enhance transparency and security in financial dealings. So, AI’s versatility and capability to integrate with other advanced technologies can drive significant improvements and transformations across all areas of the financial sector, enhancing customer experience, optimising processes, and increasing overall efficiency. The financial sector leverages AI in various impactful ways. In fact, AI is revolutionising the financial sector by automating customer interactions, tailoring services to individual needs, bolstering fraud detection, refining credit scoring, and simplifying regulatory compliance. Let us narrate these issues in the following paragraphs:

• Chatbots and virtual assistants: These AI-driven tools assist users in resolving common queries, providing product recommendations, and facilitating transactions like transferring funds or opening accounts. By automating communication channels, financial institutions ensure round-the-clock availability and collect data from user interactions automatically.

• Personalisation of products and services: Financial institutions leverage customer data to provide a tailored user experience that goes beyond typical banking services. For instance, they can send account balance alerts when geolocation data indicate that customers are shopping.

• Combating money laundering and fraud prevention: AI’s capacity to analyse extensive datasets and incorporate new information sources enhances the detection of anomalies and patterns that might go unnoticed. This improves accuracy in fraud detection and antimoney laundering (AML) controls, reduces false positives, and minimises customer inconvenience.

• Credit assessment: Advanced analytical capabilities enhance credit assessments and speed up loan origination processes. Incorporating unstructured data broadens the range of eligible customers, helping new financial institutions or those entering new markets with limited information.

• Ensuring regulatory compliance: The sophisticated analytical capabilities of AI tools streamline compliance with regulatory requirements, including risk management and reporting obligations, while also improving the monitoring of regulatory changes.

Authorities can harness the power of AI to bolster operational efficiency and achieve substantial cost savings. Consequently, numerous central banks are embarking on the journey of integrating AI into a myriad of functions, encompassing micro prudential and macro prudential supervision, information management, forecasting, and fraud detection. F

or example, the Federal Reserve in the United States is spearheading the development of AI tools tailored for scrutinising reports on suspicious transactions, while the Bank of England has successfully implemented AI-driven prototypes for data validation. Moreover, the Reserve Bank of Australia adeptly utilises advanced AI techniques to forecast price movements within the dynamic real estate market, while the Bank of Canada harnesses the power of AI to pre-empt potential liquidity challenges within financial institutions. At the Deutsche Bundesbank in Germany, a cutting-edge AI tool has been developed to categorise banknotes into fit and unfit for circulation.

Additionally, statisticians are diligently exploring the possibilities of leveraging AI to enhance the quality control procedures for micro-databases. Meanwhile, economists are concurrently assessing the potential of these techniques to enhance macroeconomic analysis models and optimise indicator selection methodologies. Thus, AI is becoming a valuable asset for central banks, aiding in supervision, data management, predictive analysis, and operational tasks, thereby improving efficiency and reducing costs.

Benefits and risks of AI applications

AI has revolutionised the financial services industry, providing a plethora of benefits that bolster efficiency, precision, and customer satisfaction. Let us outline some of the key benefits. 1. AI algorithms have the ability to process and analyse vast amounts of data at a speed far beyond human capabilities. This allows financial institutions to gain valuable insights that support more informed decision-making. These insights are crucial for various functions such as investment decisions, risk assessment, and market predictions, leading to more strategic and effective outcomes. 2. AI-powered chatbots and virtual assistants provide round-the-clock support, efficiently handling inquiries and offering personalised financial advice, which boosts customer satisfaction and retention.. 3. AI systems can identify unusual patterns and behaviours indicative of fraudulent activity. As machine learning models evolve, their accuracy improves, making fraud detection more reliable and effectively reducing financial losses. 4. Automating routine tasks like data entry, compliance checks, and reporting frees up human resources for more strategic activities. This streamlines processes and reduces operational costs. 5. AI can analyse individual customer data to customise financial products and services to meet specific needs. This personalisation enhances customer engagement and boosts sales of financial products. 6. AI improves risk management by delivering more accurate risk assessments and forecasts. This enables financial institutions to effectively mitigate risks and make more informed decisions about lending and investments. 7. AI aids in monitoring and ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements by analysing transactions and identifying potential breaches. This minimises the risk of regulatory fines and strengthens overall compliance management.

Overall, the integration of AI in the financial services industry leads to smarter, faster, and more efficient operations, creating a competitive edge for institutions that leverage these technologies effectively. AI offers numerous benefits, yet it is essential to recognise the risks associated with it. Chief among these are the biases inherent in AI-generated outcomes and the opacity surrounding algorithmic decision-making processes.

  1. Algorithms operate by identifying patterns to forecast results. However, they may sometimes detect spurious correlations, leading to skewed outcomes. The significance of bias varies depending on the context. For example, a biased translation tool poses different challenges than biased loan approval systems. Understanding the roots of bias is crucial.
  2. Bias can stem from the data utilised or the method of algorithmic training. Algorithms require extensive, unbiased data to ensure equitable representation. Biased training data can perpetuate unfairness, impacting decisions such as hiring or loan approvals.
  3. Moreover, bias can emanate from algorithm design or learning mechanisms. Issues like data labeling or algorithmic evolution can introduce unintended biases. For instance, a chatbot had to be removed due to learning inappropriate language from users. Algorithms’ complexity often obscures decision-making processes, which is particularly problematic for critical functions like credit scoring, necessitating clear explanations of decisions.
  4. Efforts are underway to enhance algorithmic transparency, but significant challenges persist. This is crucial, especially for regulatory compliance and risk assessment, where understanding decisionmaking processes is paramount.
  5. Creating AI tools requires extensive data and substantial resources, which can result in market dominance by a handful of major players, potentially stifling competition. Mandates for accessing third-party data, as outlined in regulations like the new Payment Services Directive (PSD2), could help alleviate this concern.
  6. Relying heavily on AI tools and infrastructure from a few tech giants can heighten operational risks for financial institutions and introduce systemic risk. Moreover, widespread use of AI algorithms in credit provision or financial asset trading may induce herding behaviour and procyclical effects. Whether these risks materialise hinges on the consistency of data and training methodologies adopted by financial institutions.
  7. The substantial data needs of AI raise privacy concerns and the potential for financial institutions to utilise data without customers’ complete awareness. Additionally, questions emerge regarding liability in the event of losses stemming from AI techniques—whether the responsibility rests with the financial institution or the algorithm provider.

Concluding remarks

While AI holds immense potential, acknowledging and addressing its limitations is essential to ensure fairness and comprehensibility in its applications. Despite not all firms being fully prepared, artificial intelligence is swiftly emerging as a paramount business focus within the financial services sector, encompassing asset management, banking, insurance, and beyond. Throughout the industry, there is a pervasive recognition of AI’s strategic significance, prompting companies to allocate substantial investments and resources to the domain in their pursuit of maintaining or attaining a competitive edge in the market.

Dr Debasish Sur is the author of Next-gen finance.

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